Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.6
	1.72	3.8	4.25	Watch
	1.76	4.03	4.58
	1.73	3.92	4.34	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.76	3.9	4.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.91)	3.79 ↑ (3.56)	4.25 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
53.4%

Draw
24.6%

Liaoning Tieren
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Wang Guoming (G) 27. Liu Yixin 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 22. Huang Ruifeng 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 21. He Chao 10. Bruno Nazario 7. Zhong Yihao 9. Gustavo 13. Abudulam A.	21. Han Rongze (G) 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 26. Yuan Mincheng 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 18. Li Tixiang 15. Felipe 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 8. Yan Dinghao 47. Jeffinho 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
28. Du Changjie 3. Gerbig O. 15. Haliq Ablahan 5. Liu Jiahui 11. Muhmet N. 39. Osman Ekber 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 19. Xu Haofeng 16. Yang Kuo 24. Yin Congyao 29. Zheng Dalun	11. Chen Binbin 27. Gao Jiarun 7. Kouame A. 35. Li Haoran 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 4. Tian Ziyi 6. Vagic P. 34. Zhang H. 29. Zhang Yan (G)
Coaches
Ramos D.	Li Jinyu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lucas Maia ⚽, Gustavo (A),
19', Jeffinho 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Bruno Nazario ⚽, Huang Ruifeng (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yan Dinghao ↓, Vagic P. ↑,
46', Xu Dong ↓, Chen Binbin ↑,
52', Yuan Mincheng ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Wang Shangyuan (A),
55', Huang Ruifeng 🟨,
57', He Chao ↓, Haliq Ablahan ↑,
74', Bruno Nazario ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,
74', Abudulam A. ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
75', Jeffinho ↓, Kouame A. ↑,
75', Mbenza G. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
76', Mawlanniyaz D. 🟨,
79', 4 - 0, Zhong Yihao ⚽, Gustavo (A),
85', Gustavo ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
86', Wang Shangyuan ↓, Yang Kuo ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).

Henan Jianye has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Liaoning Tieren is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Henan Jianye could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Henan Jianye: Bruno Nazario (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Henan Jianye won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
26.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Qingdao West Coast - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dalian Young Boy - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
26.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Qingdao West Coast - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
24.04.18	Liaoning Tieren - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1

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