Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Hendon		Chichester City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.7	3.5	2.23
	2.89	3.88	2.07
	2.95	3.78	2.02
	2.7	3.5	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (5.07)	3.61 ↓ (4.05)	2.14 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
32.5%

Draw
25.1%

Chichester City
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

22.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hendon's performance.

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chichester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hendon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chichester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hendon - Chichester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Anokye-Boadi K. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 1, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Hendon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chichester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Hendon have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hendon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.25	Canvey Island - Hendon	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Horsham - Hendon	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Hendon - Billericay Town	1:4 ✺
08.03.25	Hastings United - Hendon	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Hendon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLT
- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.25	Chichester City - Lewes	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Hastings United - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Chichester City - Potters Bar Town	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Folkestone Invicta - Chichester City	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Billericay Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.12.24	Chichester City - Hendon	1:0

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