Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 14

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Goed Genoeg (Amsterdam)

Referee: de Roos V. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Hera United		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.25	4.4	1.34
	7.3	4.35	1.35
	8.19	4.96	1.34
	7.69	4.84	1.33	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.33
	6.51	4.95	1.4	Watch
	7	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.35 ↑ (4.75)	4.62 ↑ (3.74)	1.35 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hera United
12.5%

Draw
19.8%

AZ Alkmaar
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24.6%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

19.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hera United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hera United's form might have worsened.

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hera United than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hera United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hera United - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steen K. (C) 14. van de Pol P. 3. Stoop N. 12. Tiebie T. 4. Tanaka H. 28. Kaagman I. 30. Oudejans E. 8. Berrevoets N. 19. Kleef Y. 7. Vis L. 9. van Belen J.	13. Copier F. (G) 5. Mol C. 4. Woons K. 23. Stoop M. 21. Van Uden J. 8. de Vette M. 6. van Beijeren J. 22. Thomas K. 11. Kroese F. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 12. Eloualidi A.
Substitutes
15. Daalman E. 99. de Bakker S. 10. Hassani S. 6. Kira C. 5. Kopp I. 17. Lagcher M. . Linthorst J. 11. Nottet I. 25. van Herk R. (G) 26. van Marsbergen V.	98. Bakker J. 3. De Ridder D. 99. De Visser A. 24. de Vries E. 15. Groot P. 28. van Zuijlen D. 31. Visser A.
Coaches
Engelkes E.	de Vogel W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, van Lunteren D. ⚽, Kroese F. (A),
44', 0 - 2, van Lunteren D. ⚽, Kroese F. (A),
45', Thomas K. ↓, Bakker E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', van Lunteren D. ↓, De Ridder D. ↑,
46', Berrevoets N. ↓, Kopp I. ↑,
62', van Belen J. ↓, Linthorst J. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Kaagman I. ⚽, Linthorst J. (A),
68', Tiebie T. ↓, van Marsbergen V. ↑,
68', Vis L. ↓, Hassani S. ↑,
70', Van Uden J. 🟨,
75', De Ridder D. ↓, Groot P. ↑,
83', Kaagman I. ↓, Nottet I. ↑,
88', Kroese F. ↓, Ellouzi S. ↑,
90', Bakker E. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

Hera United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AZ Alkmaar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AZ Alkmaar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AZ Alkmaar has had a series of away games.

In this match, AZ Alkmaar is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	AZ Alkmaar W	7	4	0	3	9:16	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hera United
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
18.03.26	Twente - Hera United	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
15.03.26	Hera United - ADO Den Haag	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Excelsior - Hera United	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ajax - Hera United	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
28.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Hera United	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 105 LLWWW
- AZ Alkmaar Women
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
18.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
15.03.26	NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
22.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Twente - AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
01.02.26	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Hera United - AZ Alkmaar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide