The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 12.5%
Draw 19%
PSV Eindhoven 68.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.6%
19.8%
66.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.2%
20.4%
68.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Copier F. (G) 5. Groot P. 4. Verspaget A. 23. Stoop M. 24. de Vries E. 21. Van Uden J. 8. de Vette M. 6. van Beijeren J. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 16. Harting A. 9. Ellouzi S.
1. Evrard N. (G) 2. Thrige S. 3. Hendriks G. 25. Frijns E. 5. Bross M. 6. Lacroix R. 8. Folkertsma S. 19. Cayman J. (C) 10. Ripa C. 11. Hickelsberger-Fuller J. 20. Altena A.
Substitutes
18. Dessing S. 26. De Visser A. 29. Snoek J. 14. Van Eynde Z. 28. Visser A. (G) 11. Vos D.
31. Akkermans K. (G) 16. Alkemade L. (G) 23. Chibani A. 46. Fischer E. 40. Hoogeveen M. 47. Meekelenkamp L. 43. Schippers B. 37. Selderbeek A. 48. van Ierland L.
Coaches
Titaley J.
Kurland K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, van Beijeren J. ⚽,
39', Lacroix R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', van Beijeren J. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, van Beijeren J. ⚽, Harting A. (A),
71', de Vette M. ↓, Van Eynde Z. ↑,
71', Harting A. ↓, Vos D. ↑,
75', Ellouzi S. ↓, Dessing S. ↑,
78', Bross M. ↓, Schippers B. ↑,
78', Hickelsberger-Fuller J. ↓, Selderbeek A. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Van Eynde Z. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Ripa C. ⚽,
87', Thrige S. ↓, Chibani A. ↑,
90+1', de Vries E. ↓, De Visser A. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 and 4)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ Alkmaar won 0.
AZ Alkmaar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
PSV's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, PSV is the clear favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AZ Alkmaar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 1.1:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, AZ Alkmaar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
PSV W
7
4
1
2
17:8
9
13
4
AZ Alkmaar W
7
4
0
3
9:16
-7
12
Last Results with these Odds
PSV Eindhoven - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 66.61%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.