Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 14

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	Hercílio Luz		Aimoré

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.95	8.8
	1.24	4.97	9.76
	1.21	5.85	11.25
	1.22	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.46)	5.32 ↑ (3.73)	10.2 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercílio Luz
74%

Draw
17.1%

Aimoré
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

24%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hercílio Luz's performance.

Aimoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aimoré might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hercílio Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Hercílio Luz - Aimoré Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Hercílio Luz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aimoré is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hercílio Luz is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hercílio Luz to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Serie D
16.07.23	Novo Hamburgo - Hercílio Luz	5:5 ✺
08.07.23	Hercílio Luz - São-Joseense	3:0 ✺
01.07.23	Camboriú - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Hercílio Luz - Concórdia	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Caxias - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWW
- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Serie D
16.07.23	Aimoré - Camboriú	0:4 ✺
08.07.23	Caxias - Aimoré	3:1 ✺
02.07.23	Novo Hamburgo - Aimoré	4:1 ✺
25.06.23	Aimoré - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	São-Joseense - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.05.23	Aimoré - Hercílio Luz	0:0

Hercílio Luz - Aimoré: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide