Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 12

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	Hercílio Luz		São-Joseense

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.2	5.35
	1.62	3.19	5.56
	1.62	3.45	5.65
	1.6	3.4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	5.52 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercílio Luz
56.2%

Draw
27.4%

São-Joseense
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

28%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

27%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Hercílio Luz - São Joseense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Hercílio Luz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São-Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hercílio Luz is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Camboriú - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Hercílio Luz - Concórdia	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Caxias - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Hercílio Luz - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWL
- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	São-Joseense - Concórdia	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Camboriú - São-Joseense	3:3 ✺
19.06.23	São-Joseense - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
14.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	São-Joseense - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.05.23	São-Joseense - Hercílio Luz	0:0

Hercílio Luz - São-Joseense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide