Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 2

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday


	Hercílio Luz		Avenida

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.4	5.01
	1.67	3.05	5.02
	1.6	3.3	5
	1.68	3.38	4.87
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↑ (3.14)	4.84 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercílio Luz
54.3%

Draw
27.1%

Avenida
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hercílio Luz's performance.

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avenida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hercílio Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avenida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hercílio Luz - Avenida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Anderson Ligeiro ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Richard ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Maikon Aquino ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Serie D
16.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
12.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Novo Hamburgo	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Hercílio Luz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTTT
- EC Avenida
Brazilian Serie D
15.06.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Avenida	1:1 ✺
12.06.24	Avenida - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	Concórdia - Avenida	1:2 ✺
01.06.24	Avenida - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Avenida - FC Cascavel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TWWTL

Hercílio Luz - Avenida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide