Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Herd		Kvik

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.10	4.10
	1.62	3.95	3.95
	1.68	3.94	3.82
	1.68	4.12	4	Watch
	1.65	3.9	3.75
	1.64	3.84	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)	3.98 ↓ (5)	3.97 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herd
54.7%

Draw
22.6%

Kvik
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

18.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

13.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herd's form might have worsened.

Kvik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herd than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Herd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvik than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Herd - Kvik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 12th in the Relegation).

Herd is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kvik has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Herd is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Herd	25	9	5	11	49:60	-11	32
11	FK Kvik	25	8	5	12	37:57	-20	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Herd
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.09.26	Byåsen - Herd	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	Herd - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Herd - Melhus	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	NTNUI - Herd	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Herd - Ranheim 2	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW
- FK Kvik
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.09.26	Kvik - NTNUI	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Strindheim - Kvik	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Kvik - Ranheim 2	0:7 ✺
30.08.26	Volda - Kvik	6:0 ✺
03.08.26	Kvik - Melhus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT

Herd - Kvik