The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pérez Zeledón 33.2%
Draw 30.3%
Puntarenas FC 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
29.5%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
28.9%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pérez Zeledón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Puntarenas FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérez Zeledón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Pérez Zeledón - Puntarenas FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Mora A. (G) 11. Sequeira B. 28. Pastrana E. (C) 5. Fernandez W. 6. Hernandez L. 15. Porras A. 12. Porras K. 26. Drummond E. 17. Soto A. 19. Pereira M. 33. Moran M.
1. Pineda A. (G) 25. Gomez K. 6. Gutierrez K. 5. Samadian F. 4. Decas W. 98. Gomez I. 15. Munoz H. 10. Cole R. 30. Segura U. 22. Colindres D. 9. Carballo R.
Substitutes
23. Aguirre J. 32. Canales J. 77. Fallas A. 2. Fonseca J. 93. Nunez M. 31. Rios K. . Rivera G. 4. Rodriguez R. 10. Rodriguez S. 20. Rojas R.
77. Alvarez P. 33. Barrera G. (G) 90. Cordoba J. 7. Hernandez J. 8. Lopez J. 19. Renteria W. 21. Rodriguez D. 11. Taylor R. 12. Villalobos K.
Coaches
Arias R.
Alpizar C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Soto A. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Colindres D. ⚽,
36', Pastrana E. 🟥,
45', 2 - 1, Moran M. ⚽,
45+1', Decas W. 🟨,
45+2', Gomez I. 🟨,
45+10', 2 - 2, Cole R. ⚽,
45+18', Gomez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Porras K. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
46', Pereira M. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
50', Sequeira B. 🟨,
52', 2 - 3, Samadian F. ⚽,
64', Drummond E. ↓, Fallas A. ↑,
64', Sequeira B. ↓, Rios K. ↑,
66', Gomez K. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
76', Carballo R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
76', Gutierrez K. ↓, Renteria W. ↑,
76', Gomez I. ↓, Villalobos K. ↑,
81', 3 - 3, Fernandez W. ⚽,
88', Samadian F. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
90+2', Alvarez P. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pérez Zeledón won 1.
Pérez Zeledón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Puntarenas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Pérez Zeledón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pérez Zeledón won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pérez Zeledón won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Puntarenas FC
9
3
2
4
8:13
-5
11
8
Zeledon
9
2
2
5
7:14
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Puntarenas FC - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.9%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.