The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hermannstadt 39.8%
Draw 31%
Oţelul Galaţi 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
30.5%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
30.8%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hermannstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hermannstadt's form might have worsened.
Oţelul Galaţi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oţelul Galaţi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermannstadt than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hermannstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oţelul Galaţi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oţelul Galaţi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
50%
12.5%
Hermannstadt - Oţelul Galaţi Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hermannstadt will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Oţelul will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Mutiu V. (G) 3. Karo A. 5. Bejan F. (C) 2. Selimovic V. 30. Antwi N. 13. Albu D. 24. Ivanov A. 51. Oroian A. 98. Ciubotaru K. 9. Chitu A. 10. Negut C.
1. Dur-Bozoanca C. (G) 2. Zhelev M. 31. Zivulic D. (C) 6. Iacob P. 97. Conrado 20. Sandu D. 27. Pedro N. 18. Joao Paulo 7. Andrezinho 9. Patrick 77. Paulinho
Substitutes
27. Barstan I. 21. Batista D. 29. Biceanu C. 11. Bus S. 25. Cabuz C. (G) 19. Gjorgjievski M. 16. Issah S. 7. Jair 23. Mihart I. 22. Pop I. (G) 77. Stancu L. 17. Vuc P.
3. Bonilla J. 24. Bordun D. 23. Chira C. 17. Ciobanu A. 30. Frunza M. 5. Murria V. 16. Neicu D. 15. Neicu D. 4. Ne Lopes 32. Popescu I. (G) 14. Rus A. 22. Ursu G. (G)
Coaches
Maldarasanu M.
Balint L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Selimovic V. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Karo A. ⚽, Oroian A. (A),
19', Zhelev M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Andrezinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chitu A. ↓, Bus S. ↑,
52', Sandu D. ↓, Bordun D. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Andrezinho ⚽,
64', Negut C. ↓, Jair ↑,
64', Albu D. ↓, Biceanu C. ↑,
64', Oroian A. ↓, Stancu L. ↑,
68', Antwi N. 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Conrado (Pen),
77', Ivanov A. ↓, Batista D. ↑,
85', Pedro N. ↓, Ciobanu A. ↑,
90+1', Andrezinho ↓, Ne Lopes ↑,
90+1', Zhelev M. ↓, Murria V. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 3.
Recent form of Hermannstadt has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Oţelul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oţelul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Hermannstadt will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Hermannstadt: Balaure S.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Oţelul: Bana S.
(Injury)
Kazu
(Injury)
Lameira J.
(Injury)
Rus A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oţelul: Ne Lopes
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Hermannstadt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).