Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hessen Kassel		Homburg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.72
	1.85	4.12	3.31	Watch
	2.17	3.54	2.79
	2.14	3.65	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)	3.77 ↓ (4)	2.91 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
44%

Draw
24.4%

Homburg
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

22.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

21.8%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hessen Kassel's form might have worsened.

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hessen Kassel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hessen Kassel - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hessen Kassel won 2.

Hessen Kassel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Homburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hessen Kassel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hessen Kassel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hessen Kassel won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hessen Kassel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.11.25	Hessen Kassel - Kickers Offenbach	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Hessen Kassel - Eintracht Trier	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Balingen - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hessen Kassel - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.11.25	Homburg - Sandhausen	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bayern Alzenau - Homburg	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Homburg - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Homburg	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Eintracht Trier - Homburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.08.25	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1
22.02.25	Hessen Kassel - Homburg	2:1
17.08.24	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1
27.04.24	Hessen Kassel - Homburg	2:1
21.10.23	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	2:1
25.03.23	Hessen Kassel - Homburg	2:0
13.09.22	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	3:2

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