Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 5

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hessen Kassel		Villingen

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.78	3.6	4.8
	1.72	3.53	4.47	Watch
	1.7	3.72	4.2
	1.75	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	3.58 ↓ (3.78)	4.34 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
52.9%

Draw
25.8%

Villingen
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

20%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Villingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hessen Kassel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villingen than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villingen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hessen Kassel - Villingen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hessen Kassel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Villingen will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 1 - 0, Boche T. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Pintidis G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 1, Zouaoui R. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Hessen Kassel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villingen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villingen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hessen Kassel is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.08.24	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	Hessen Kassel - Eintracht Frankfurt II	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Hessen Kassel - Freiburg II	1:3 ✺
28.07.24	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Gütersloh - Hessen Kassel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLT
- FC 08 Villingen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.08.24	Villingen - Mainz II	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Villingen - Heidenheim	0:4 ✺
German Regionalliga Sudwest
10.08.24	Stuttgarter Kickers - Villingen	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Villingen - Eintracht Trier	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Villingen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT

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