Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 19

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Mainz II		Hessen Kassel

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.55	2.92
	2.24	3.6	2.92
	2.45	3.69	2.45	Watch
	2.11	3.52	2.91
	2.22	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.42)	3.57 ↓ (3.64)	2.82 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
41.4%

Draw
25.9%

Hessen Kassel
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

25%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Hessen Kassel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (+5%)

Mainz II - Hessen Kassel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Gitau Andre ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, Vargas N. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Bonianga P. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 3.

Mainz II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hessen Kassel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hessen Kassel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mainz II - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Hessen Kassel - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
22.11.25	Astoria Walldorf - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Freiburg II - Mainz II	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mainz II - FSV Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Mainz II - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTW
- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
22.11.25	Hessen Kassel - Homburg	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Hessen Kassel - Kickers Offenbach	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Hessen Kassel - Eintracht Trier	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Balingen - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.08.25	Hessen Kassel - Mainz II	3:0
23.11.24	Hessen Kassel - Mainz II	1:3
28.07.24	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	3:0
17.11.23	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	4:1
05.08.23	Hessen Kassel - Mainz II	2:0
06.05.23	Hessen Kassel - Mainz II	1:0
30.10.22	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	3:1

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