Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Hestrafors		Jonsereds

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.65	2.15
	2.92	3.44	2.04
	3.04	3.45	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.05
	2.94	3.54	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.83)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hestrafors
30.9%

Draw
26%

Jonsereds
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hestrafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Jonsereds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hestrafors than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonsereds than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Hestrafors - Jonsereds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Wahlstrom J. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Andersson O. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Lillskog V. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Gunnergard Ortan E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 4 - 1, Gunnergard Ortan E. ⚽,
80', 5 - 1, Gunnergard Ortan E. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3).

Hestrafors is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jonsereds has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jonsereds is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hestrafors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hestrafors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Jonsereds	24	12	6	6	40:37	3	42
4	Hestrafors	24	12	5	7	48:39	9	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hestrafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
16.05.26	Onsala - Hestrafors	5:1 ✺
08.05.26	Lindome - Hestrafors	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Hestrafors - Västra Frölunda	2:4 ✺
24.04.26	Landvetter - Hestrafors	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Hestrafors - Astrio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLT
- Jonsereds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
17.05.26	Jonsereds - Lindome	0:5 ✺
08.05.26	Kongahälla - Jonsereds	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Jonsereds - Dalstorps	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Onsala - Jonsereds	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Jonsereds - Böljan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
29.06.25	Jonsereds - Hestrafors	0:0
06.06.25	Hestrafors - Jonsereds	1:3

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