Match Info

Premiership - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Easter Road (Edinburgh)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
United-kingdom	Hibs TV, Motherwell TV, Sky Go
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hibernian		Motherwell

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.60	4.33
	1.83	3.60	4.00
	1.93	3.40	3.80	Watch
	1.91	3.68	4.31
	2.14	3.34	3.5	Watch
	1.84	3.60	4.25
	1.88	3.68	4.21	Watch
	1.94	3.65	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.23)	3.57 ↑ (3.41)	4.08 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hibernian
50%

Draw
26.7%

Motherwell
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hibernian's performance.

Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motherwell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Hibernian - Motherwell Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Motherwell will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hibernian (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sallinger R. (G) 5. O'Hora W. 6. Kerr J. 21. Obita J. 25. Passlack F. 8. Mulligan J. 14. Chaiwa M. 3. Mayor A. 7. Elding O. 9. Lowe N. 10. Boyle M. (C)	1. Paulsen A. (G) 7. Sparrow T. (C) 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 5. Moormann M. 20. Williams D. 77. Vogt W. 12. Priestman O. 8. Fadinger L. 45. Longelo E. 19. Said I. 17. Charles-Cook R.
Substitutes
47. Abdulai A. 32. Campbell J. 4. Hanley G. 18. Klidje T. 30. MacIntyre J. 27. Megwa K. 20. Molotnikov R. 13. Smith J. (G) 22. Suto A.	27. Booth M. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 11. Lowry A. 18. Maswanhise T. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 29. McAllister Z. 24. Ross L. 25. Whyte O. 23. Wilson E.
Coaches
Gray D.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Fadinger L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Mulligan J. 🟨,
55', Priestman O. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Boyle M. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Mayor A. ↓, Molotnikov R. ↑,
66', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
66', Vogt W. ↓, Maswanhise T. ↑,
68', Fadinger L. 🟨,
73', Boyle M. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
73', Chaiwa M. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
75', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Lowry A. ↑,
76', Sparrow T. 🟨,
82', Longelo E. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
82', Priestman O. ↓, Whyte O. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Said I. ⚽, Williams D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 1.

Hibernian might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Motherwell: McGhee J. (Inactive) McGinn P. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hibernian: 0.6% Motherwell: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8:11	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Hibernian - Malisheva	4:1 ✺
23.07.26	Malisheva - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hibernian - Brøndby	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
16.05.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL
- Motherwell FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	HB Tórshavn - Motherwell	0:3 ✺
23.07.26	Motherwell - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Motherwell - Genk	3:4 ✺
05.07.26	AGF Aarhus - Motherwell	4:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
16.05.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
16.05.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	0:1
21.03.26	Motherwell - Hibernian	0:0
10.01.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	1:1
25.11.25	Motherwell - Hibernian	2:0
11.01.25	Hibernian - Motherwell	3:1
30.11.24	Motherwell - Hibernian	0:3
05.10.24	Hibernian - Motherwell	1:2

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