Match Info

Premiership - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Fir Park (Motherwell)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 4
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Ireland	NOW
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 4
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
United-kingdom	Celtic TV, Motherwell TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Usa	Paramount+
World	OneFootball TV


	Motherwell		Celtic

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.75	1.49
	5.00	4.50	1.55
	4.80	4.25	1.55	Watch
	5.39	4.67	1.57
	5	4.75	1.55	Watch
	5.30	4.50	1.56
	5.43	4.85	1.54	Watch
	5.40	4.90	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.62)	4.65 ↑ (4.5)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motherwell
18.3%

Draw
20.4%

Celtic
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

21%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

22%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Motherwell - Celtic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Celtic (1.55) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Celtic will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulsen A. (G) 7. Sparrow T. 2. O'Donnell S. (C) 5. Moormann M. 45. Longelo E. 8. Fadinger L. 71. Hodge J. 77. Vogt W. 11. Lowry A. 63. Levitt D. 47. Palmer-Houlden S.	1. Sinisalo V. (G) 51. Donovan C. 47. Murray D. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 22. Baur M. 11. Duran C. 8. Nygren B. 17. Tounekti S. 9. Hogh K.
Substitutes
15. Bjorgolfsson E. 27. Booth M. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 13. Kanga J. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 18. Maswanhise T. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 6. McGhee J. 19. Said I.	49. Forrest J. 23. Hassan H. 26. Johnstone S. (G) 7. Jota 3. Lotomba J. 29. Mheuka S. 21. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 18. Sorensen O. 6. Trusty A.
Coaches
Johansson A.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Duran C. ⚽,
41', Hodge J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, Nygren B. ⚽, Hogh K. (A),
60', Vogt W. ↓, Said I. ↑,
71', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
71', Levitt D. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
73', Duran C. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
73', Hogh K. ↓, Mheuka S. ↑,
74', Tounekti S. ↓, Jota ↑,
78', Nygren B. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
82', Tierney K. 🟨,
83', Tierney K. ↓, Lotomba J. ↑,
83', O'Donnell S. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
83', Lowry A. ↓, Maswanhise T. ↑,
85', Lotomba J. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Motherwell (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Celtic have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Celtic is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Motherwell: Hendry C. (Knee Injury) Koutroumbis J. (Calf Injury) McGhee J. (Hamstring Injury) McGinn P. (Knee Injury) Priestman O. (Calf Injury).

Confirmed absences for Celtic: Johnston A. (Leg Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:53 (averaging 0.8:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Motherwell against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with 9:30 goals (averaging 0.8:2.7 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 51.13% Motherwell: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Celtic	8	7	0	1	16:4	12	21
9	Motherwell	8	2	2	4	9:13	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
19.09.26	Dundee - Motherwell	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Motherwell - Aberdeen	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Motherwell - Dundee United	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	St. Mirren - Motherwell	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
20.09.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Celtic - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
13.09.26	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	3:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.09.26	St. Johnstone - Celtic	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	St. Mirren - Celtic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
13.05.26	Motherwell - Celtic	2:3
14.03.26	Celtic - Motherwell	3:1
30.12.25	Motherwell - Celtic	2:0
05.10.25	Celtic - Motherwell	3:2
02.02.25	Motherwell - Celtic	1:3
26.12.24	Celtic - Motherwell	4:0
27.10.24	Motherwell - Celtic	0:3

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