Match Info

NSW League One - Round 16

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Hills United		Blacktown Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.05
	2.82	3.55	2.1
	2.8	3.8	2.09
	2.83	3.75	2.11
	2.8	3.3	2.1
	2.89	3.64	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.13)	3.59 ↓ (3.64)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hills United
31.9%

Draw
25.1%

Blacktown Spartans
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

24.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.7%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Blacktown Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blacktown Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hills United - Blacktown Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW).

Recent performances by Hills United have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blacktown Spartans is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hills United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hills United has had a series of away games.

Blacktown Spartans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hills United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Hills United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Hills United - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 28.86%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills United
Australian NSW League One
17.05.26	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Hills United	5:3 ✺
09.05.26	Rydalmere Lions - Hills United	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Hills United - Western City Rangers	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Canterbury Bankstown - Hills United	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Bankstown City Lions - Hills United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWL
- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
15.05.26	Blacktown Spartans - Bulls Academy	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Blacktown Spartans	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Blacktown Spartans - Macarthur Rams	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Inter Lions - Blacktown Spartans	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Blacktown Spartans - Prospect United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
06.02.26	Blacktown Spartans - Hills United	4:1
30.08.25	Hills United - Blacktown Spartans	2:3
16.05.25	Blacktown Spartans - Hills United	2:1

Hills United - Blacktown Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide