Match Info

NSW League One - Round 14

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Hurstville Zagreb		Blacktown Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.65	2.18
	2.81	3.7	2.2
	2.99	3.62	2.07	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.2
	2.73	3.54	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.53)	3.58 ↓ (4)	2.17 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hurstville Zagreb
32.9%

Draw
25.3%

Blacktown Spartans
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

23%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hurstville Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hurstville Zagreb's performance.

Blacktown Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blacktown Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hurstville Zagreb than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hurstville Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blacktown Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hurstville Zagreb - Blacktown Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 🟥,
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW).

Hurstville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blacktown Spartans is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Blacktown Spartans has had a series of home games.

Blacktown Spartans could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hurstville Zagreb FC
Australian NSW League One
01.05.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Bankstown City Lions	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Northern Tigers - Hurstville Zagreb	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Macarthur Rams	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Dulwich Hill - Hurstville Zagreb	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL
- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
01.05.26	Blacktown Spartans - Macarthur Rams	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Inter Lions - Blacktown Spartans	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Blacktown Spartans - Prospect United	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Blacktown Spartans - Canterbury Bankstown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Hurstville Zagreb - Blacktown Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide