Match Info

Druha Liga - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Yunist Stadium (Horisni Plavni)


	Hirnyk-Sport		Kolos Kovalivka 2

	1	X	2
	6.62	4.39	1.40	Watch
	4.72	3.95	1.57
	3.4	3.5	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.4)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	1.59 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hirnyk-Sport
18.8%

Draw
23.4%

Kolos Kovalivka 2
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

25.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

24.8%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hirnyk-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hirnyk-Sport's form might have worsened.

Kolos Kovalivka 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolos Kovalivka 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hirnyk-Sport than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hirnyk-Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka 2 than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolos Kovalivka 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hirnyk Sport - Kolos Kovalivka 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Nedolya A. 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, Andriyovych Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga).

Hirnyk-Sport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kolos 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kolos 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hirnyk-Sport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hirnyk-Sport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hirnyk-Sport
Ukrainian Druha Liga
07.09.25	Livyi Bereh 2 - Hirnyk-Sport	3:0 ✺
03.09.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Oleksandriya 2 - Hirnyk-Sport	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Trostianets	1:0 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
16.08.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Penuel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW
- Kolos Kovalivka 2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
07.09.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Rebel Kyiv	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Trostianets - Kolos Kovalivka 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Kolos Kovalivka 2	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa 2 - Kolos Kovalivka 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
19.10.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Kolos Kovalivka 2	0:1
16.08.24	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Hirnyk-Sport	2:0

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