Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hitchin Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.30	2.15
	2.85	3.15	2.23
	3.06	3.21	2.21
	2.99	3.44	2.25	Watch
	3.00	3.15	2.18
	3.01	3.20	2.19
	2.90	3.30	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.78)	3.25 ↓ (3.6)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
30.9%

Draw
27.9%

Stourbridge
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Stourbridge aligns with the current prediction.

Hitchin Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Pearce K. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Rhiney T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hitchin won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stourbridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hitchin won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hitchin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15:16	-1	19
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16:20	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
31.08.26	Bishops Stortford - Hitchin Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Racing Club Warwick - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTT
- Stourbridge FC
English FA Cup
06.09.26	Stourbridge - Rushall Olympic	1:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.09.26	Stourbridge - Leamington	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Banbury United - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stourbridge - Leiston	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Peterborough Sports - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
01.02.25	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	3:1
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5
27.04.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	0:0
28.11.23	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	0:2
11.02.23	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:1
24.09.22	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	3:0
11.12.21	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	0:4

Hitchin Town - Stourbridge