Match Info

Date: 10 September 2020, Thursday


	Hobro		Viborg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.25	3.35	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.03
	3.36	3.64	2.14
	3.2	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.35	3.36	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.25)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.1 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
28.1%

Draw
27.4%

Viborg
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

20.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hobro's form might have worsened.

Viborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+28.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hobro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viborg than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	9.4%	73.6%

Hobro - Viborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Hobro will win (votes: 9 - 17%). Viborg will win (votes: 39 - 73.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viborg: 61.7% – 85.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Hobro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Viborg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Viborg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hobro won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hobro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish Landspokal Cup
02.09.20	Lyseng - Hobro	0:7 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.20	Hobro - Skive IK	4:1 ✺
19.08.20	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Hobro	0:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.07.20	Lyngby BK - Hobro	2:2 ✺
13.07.20	Hobro - Lyngby BK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTL
- Viborg FF
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Viborg - Skive IK	0:2 ✺
26.08.20	Esbjerg - Viborg	2:2 ✺
22.08.20	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Viborg	3:4 ✺
19.08.20	Randers FC - Viborg	5:1 ✺
Danish 1 Division
25.07.20	Viborg - Kolding IF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.05.20	Hobro - Viborg	1:1
Danish Superliga
02.06.19	Viborg - Hobro	0:2
30.05.19	Hobro - Viborg	1:0
Club Friendly
30.06.18	Viborg - Hobro	3:1
08.07.17	Viborg - Hobro	1:2
Danish Superliga
29.05.16	Viborg - Hobro	1:0
05.03.16	Hobro - Viborg	0:6

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