Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hogar Alcarreño		Almansa

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Hogar Alcarreño
20.6%

Draw
26.5%

Almansa
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hogar Alcarreño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hogar Alcarreño's form might have worsened.

Almansa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almansa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hogar Alcarreño than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almansa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almansa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Hogar Alcarreño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Almansa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hogar Alcarreño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Almansa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Hogar Alcarreño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
13.11.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Torrijos	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Quintanar del Rey	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Albacete B - Hogar Alcarreño	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Villarrobledo	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Tarancón - Hogar Alcarreño	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL
- UD Almansa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.11.21	Almansa - Albacete B	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Villarrobledo - Almansa	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	Almansa - Tarancón	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Huracán Balazote - Almansa	2:3 ✺
23.10.21	Almansa - San Clemente	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWL

Hogar Alcarreño - Almansa