Match Info

3rd Division - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Holbæk		Vanløse

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.95	4.75
	1.54	4.1	5.09
	1.71	3.96	3.92	Watch
	1.63	4.5	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)	4.13 ↑ (3.96)	4.51 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk
57.3%

Draw
22.3%

Vanløse
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Vanløse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanløse than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Holbæk - Vanløse Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Holbæk will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Holbæk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Holbæk is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Holbæk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Holbæk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
01.11.25	Holbæk - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:4 ✺
25.10.25	BK Frem - Holbæk	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Odder - Holbæk	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Holbæk - Vejgaard	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Næsby - Holbæk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTL
- Vanløse
Danish 3 Division
01.11.25	Vanløse - Brønshøj BK	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	FA 2000 - Vanløse	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Vanløse - Lyseng	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Brønshøj BK - Vanløse	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Vanløse - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
20.09.25	Vanløse - Holbæk	1:3
06.04.24	Holbæk - Vanløse	1:2
18.08.23	Vanløse - Holbæk	1:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
10.08.19	Vanløse - Holbæk	1:0

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