Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 3

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: John Frederick Park (Redlands)


	Capalaba		Logan Lightning

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.65	1.46
	5.15	5.13	1.47
	5.06	5.11	1.48	Watch
	4.75	4.5	1.44
	4.71	4.71	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.44)	4.82 ↑ (4.68)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Capalaba
18.8%

Draw
19.1%

Logan Lightning
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

19.9%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Logan Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Capalaba - Logan Lightning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 0.

Logan Lightning may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Logan Lightning is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.8:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
28.02.26	Capalaba - Brisbane Strikers	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Capalaba - Caboolture Sports	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Capalaba - Magic United	1:6 ✺
16.08.25	Redlands United - Capalaba	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	South West Queensland Thunder - Capalaba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWT
- Logan Lightning
Australian Queensland Premier League
28.02.26	Logan Lightning - North Star	4:0 ✺
20.02.26	Holland Park Hawks - Logan Lightning	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Logan Lightning - Brisbane Strikers	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Logan Lightning - Rochedale Rovers	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Logan Lightning - Broadbeach United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
15.06.25	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	3:1
09.05.25	Capalaba - Logan Lightning	1:4
05.07.24	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	1:1
11.06.24	Capalaba - Logan Lightning	1:2
Australian NPL Queensland
06.08.22	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	3:2
07.05.22	Capalaba - Logan Lightning	2:2
08.10.21	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	3:2

Capalaba - Logan Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide