Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 18

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Whites Hill Reserve (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Holland Park Hawks		North Star

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.75	2.20
	2.55	3.75	2.18
	2.67	4.10	2.20
	2.79	4.06	2.12	Watch
	2.60	3.95	2.17
	2.51	3.84	2.20	Watch
	2.18	3.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.18)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	2.24 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holland Park Hawks
35.8%

Draw
23.5%

North Star
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

24%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

22.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holland Park Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holland Park Hawks's form might have worsened.

North Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holland Park Hawks than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holland Park Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Star than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Holland Park Hawks - North Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)

Recent performances by Holland Park Hawks have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North Star is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Holland Park Hawks won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holland Park Hawks
Australian Queensland Premier League
03.07.26	Ipswich FC - Holland Park Hawks	3:3 ✺
26.06.26	Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United	1:4 ✺
23.06.26	Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Holland Park Hawks - St. George Willawong	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Robina City - Holland Park Hawks	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWWL
- North Star
Australian Queensland Premier League
04.07.26	North Star - Redlands United	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	St. George Willawong - North Star	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	North Star - Broadbeach United	1:3 ✺
06.06.26	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - North Star	1:0 ✺
02.06.26	North Star - Brisbane Strikers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
12.04.26	North Star - Holland Park Hawks	1:2

Holland Park Hawks - North Star: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide