Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 30

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Hapoel Bnei Lod

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	5.5
	1.67	3.45	4.7
	1.66	3.55	4.93	Watch
	1.68	3.35	4.88
	1.67	3.45	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)	3.5 ↓ (4)	4.94 ↓ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
55.6%

Draw
26%

Hapoel Bnei Lod
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

21.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holon Yermiyahu's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Bnei Lod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holon Yermiyahu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Malka S. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 2.

Holon Yermiyahu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hapoel Bnei Lod is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holon Yermiyahu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Holon Yermiyahu have a series of guest games.

In this match Holon Yermiyahu is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:7 (average 2.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Holon Yermiyahu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.03.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Holon Yermiyahu	3:2 ✺
07.03.25	Jerusalem FC - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Holon Yermiyahu	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.03.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Nordia Jerusalem	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
06.03.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek	1:3 ✺
27.02.25	Dimona - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
06.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu	0:3
01.03.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod	5:0
28.09.23	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu	2:2
12.04.22	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu	3:3
31.12.21	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:1
16.03.21	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:0
10.12.20	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1

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