Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 8

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Shimshon Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.2	7.75
	1.35	4.3	8
	1.33	3.83	7.05
	1.38	4.12	8.43	Watch
	1.34	4.25	8.55
	1.35	4.3	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	4.17 ↑ (3.8)	7.96 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
67%

Draw
21.7%

Shimshon Kafr Qasim
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

23.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

23%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Holon Yermiyahu - Shimshon Kafr Qasim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 1.

Holon Yermiyahu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Holon Yermiyahu is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Holon Yermiyahu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
15.10.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
09.10.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:1 ✺
26.09.24	Dimona - Holon Yermiyahu	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWTT
- Shimshon Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Alef South
15.10.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:3 ✺
17.09.24	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
19.04.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1
02.02.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	0:1
10.02.23	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	0:3
07.10.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	3:3
Israeli Liga Alef North
20.04.22	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	2:1
Israeli Liga Alef South
18.03.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	0:2
30.11.21	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0

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