Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 22

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.15	2.98
	2.18	3.03	3.04
	2.21	3.17	3.08	Watch
	2.19	3.08	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.49)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	3.06 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
41.3%

Draw
29.1%

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Mizrahi A. 🟥,
78', Ashkenazi R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Holon Yermiyahu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

M Kiryat Malakhi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holon Yermiyahu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Holon Yermiyahu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	M. Ironi Kiryat Malachi	7	4	3	0	15:6	9	15
5	Holon Yermiyahu	7	4	1	2	11:6	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.49%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.02.26	Maccabi Yavne - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Beitar Yavne	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLLL
- Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Beitar Yavne	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Azor	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Tzeirei Tira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
31.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0
07.02.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1
09.10.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:1
14.04.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	3:1
26.01.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	0:2

Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide