Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Holywell Town		Bangor City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.65	3.3	2.22
	2.69	3.27	2.24
	2.78	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.77)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
33.1%

Draw
27%

Bangor City
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

19.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Bangor City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holywell Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor City than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangor City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Holywell Town - Bangor City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Holywell Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
11.09.21	Llanrhaeadr - Holywell Town	0:4 ✺
28.08.21	Holywell Town - Holyhead Hotspur	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Holywell Town - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
10.08.21	Prestatyn Town - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
06.08.21	Conwy Borough - Holywell Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLW
- Bangor City
Welsh Cymru North
11.09.21	Bangor City - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
27.08.21	Bangor City - Llangefni Town	6:0 ✺
24.08.21	Llanrhaeadr - Bangor City	1:1 ✺
20.08.21	Bangor City - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1 ✺
14.08.21	Guilsfield - Bangor City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Alliance
14.12.18	Bangor City - Holywell Town	5:2

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