Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Bartons North Wales Stadium (Holywell)

Referee: Walker J. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Holywell Town		Barry Town United

	1	X	2
	6.25	5.00	1.34
	5.80	4.40	1.40
	7.29	5.40	1.35
	7.05	5.32	1.36	Watch
	7.20	5.30	1.33
	7.46	5.25	1.29
	6.40	5.20	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.78 ↑ (6.11)	5.12 ↑ (4.49)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
13.6%

Draw
17.9%

Barry Town United
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

20.4%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

19.7%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Holywell Town - Barry Town United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Swindell A. (G) 7. Bibby T. 8. Dogan T. 34. Edwards R. 5. Hewitt I. 18. Hughes C. 16. McGiveron D. 4. Mudimu A. 14. Murtas F. 10. Winslade M. 27. Yonsian F.	31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 19. Bernard J. 10. Brain O. 9. Crosbie J. 17. Cuddihy O. 20. Dugan E. 2. George M. 16. Lester J. 23. Spence S. 15. Wharton T. 3. Williams E.
Substitutes
20. Baker S. 2. Bedford C. 24. Byron J. 31. Collins E. (G) 9. Davies O. 15. Nyoni T. 17. Reed J.	8. Barton D. 39. Case J. M. 66. Saunders K. 11. Schwank R. 21. Shaw J. 14. Smith D.
Coaches
Haseldin J.	Legg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Hughes C. ⚽,
24', Yonsian F. 🟨,
25', Hewitt I. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
31', 1 - 1, Dugan E. ⚽,
45+6', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 🟨,
59', Davies O. (Penalty Awarded),
71', 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Brain O. ⚽,
74', Dogan T. 🟨,
79', Crosbie J. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
80', Murtas F. ↓, Reed J. ↑,
86', Brain O. ↓, Shaw J. ↑,
86', Dugan E. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
90+3', Hughes C. ↓, Bedford C. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Shaw J. ⚽,

Preview

Holywell Town is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barry Town is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Barry Town has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barry Town is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Barry	12	8	1	3	27:20	7	25
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	13:38	-25	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
14.08.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Holywell Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Holywell Town	6:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	1:1 ✺
23.06.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Holywell Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.08.26	Barry Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Flint Town United - Barry Town United	2:3 ✺
31.07.26	Barry Town United - Cambrian United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Barry Town United - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
14.07.26	Barry Town United - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

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