Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Holzwickeder		Siegen

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	2.6
	2.28	3.35	2.5
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.39	3.62	2.7
	2.31	3.66	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)	3.57 ↓ (4)	2.59 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holzwickeder
39.9%

Draw
25.3%

Siegen
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

22.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

16.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holzwickeder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Siegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holzwickeder than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holzwickeder that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holzwickeder - Siegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Holzwickeder is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Siegen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holzwickeder won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Holzwickeder won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holzwickeder SC
German Oberliga Westfalen
10.10.21	Hammer SpVg - Holzwickeder	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Holzwickeder - TSG Sprockhövel	0:5 ✺
26.09.21	Eintracht Rheine - Holzwickeder	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Holzwickeder - SG Wattenscheid	1:3 ✺
12.09.21	Schermbeck 2020 - Holzwickeder	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW
- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Oberliga Westfalen
10.10.21	Siegen - Westfalia Rhynern	0:3 ✺
03.10.21	Westfalia Herne - Siegen	0:2 ✺
26.09.21	Siegen - Meinerzhagen	3:1 ✺
19.09.21	Paderborn II - Siegen	3:1 ✺
12.09.21	Siegen - Preußen Münster 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
20.09.20	Holzwickeder - Siegen	4:1
22.02.20	Holzwickeder - Siegen	0:0
11.08.19	Siegen - Holzwickeder	3:3
24.02.19	Holzwickeder - Siegen	0:0
02.09.18	Siegen - Holzwickeder	1:1

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