Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Westfalia Herne		Siegen

	1	X	2
	5	4.4	1.46
	5.4	4.4	1.35
	4.8	4.2	1.46
	5.56	4.34	1.53
	5.35	4.55	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↓ (6.2)	4.38 ↓ (4.74)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westfalia Herne
17.3%

Draw
20.6%

Siegen
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

19.1%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

16.4%

76.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westfalia Herne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Siegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westfalia Herne than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Oberliga Westfalen (Relegation Group) and 16 in the zone Oberliga Westfalen (Relegation Group)).

Herne has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Siegen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Siegen is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Herne won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Herne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Westfalia Herne
German Oberliga Westfalen
26.09.21	Hammer SpVg - Westfalia Herne	4:0 ✺
19.09.21	Westfalia Herne - TSG Sprockhövel	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Eintracht Rheine - Westfalia Herne	1:0 ✺
03.09.21	Westfalia Herne - SG Wattenscheid	1:3 ✺
29.08.21	Schermbeck 2020 - Westfalia Herne	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLLL
- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Oberliga Westfalen
26.09.21	Siegen - Meinerzhagen	3:1 ✺
19.09.21	Paderborn II - Siegen	3:1 ✺
12.09.21	Siegen - Preußen Münster 2	0:0 ✺
05.09.21	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	3:3 ✺
29.08.21	Siegen - Haltern	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
08.12.19	Westfalia Herne - Siegen	0:3
07.04.19	Siegen - Westfalia Herne	1:2
07.10.18	Westfalia Herne - Siegen	2:2
22.10.17	Siegen - Westfalia Herne	2:2

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