Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Homberg		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.2
	1.67	3.8	4
	1.65	4	4
	1.74	3.7	4.1
	1.79	3.98	4.19
	2.05	3.4	3.25
	1.8	3.74	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.35)	3.75 ↑ (3.37)	3.86 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
51.3%

Draw
24.7%

Bergisch Gladbach
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

19.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homberg's performance.

Bergisch Gladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergisch Gladbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Homberg - Bergisch Gladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Homberg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bergisch Gladbach is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bergisch Gladbach could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Homberg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Homberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
28.11.20	Homberg - Bonner	3:1 ✺
25.11.20	Wiedenbrück - Homberg	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Homberg - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:4 ✺
14.11.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Homberg	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Homberg - Köln II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTLWT
- Bergisch Gladbach
German Regionalliga West
29.11.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
14.11.20	Wiedenbrück - Bergisch Gladbach	4:1 ✺
04.11.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bergisch Gladbach	2:2 ✺
31.10.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Köln II	2:2 ✺
24.10.20	Alemannia Aachen - Bergisch Gladbach	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
07.12.19	Homberg - Bergisch Gladbach	0:2
27.07.19	Bergisch Gladbach - Homberg	0:1

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