Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Homberg		Bonner

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	3.2	3.7	1.95
	3.15	3.5	2.05
	3.48	3.4	2.07
	2.88	3.2	2.25
	3.4	3.55	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.82)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	2.06 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
28.6%

Draw
26.6%

Bonner
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

19.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bonner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bonner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Homberg - Bonner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Homberg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bonner is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Bonner have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Homberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
16.03.22	Wegberg-Beeck - Homberg	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	Homberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2 ✺
05.03.22	Fortuna Köln - Homberg	1:1 ✺
02.03.22	Homberg - Rödinghausen	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Homberg - Wuppertal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTLL
- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
16.03.22	Wuppertal - Bonner	0:3 ✺
12.03.22	Bonner - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bonner	1:2 ✺
02.03.22	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Alemannia Aachen - Bonner	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 50.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
09.10.21	Bonner - Homberg	2:0
15.05.21	Bonner - Homberg	2:1
28.11.20	Homberg - Bonner	3:1
26.10.19	Homberg - Bonner	2:0

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