Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday


	Homberg		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.44
	6.75	4.25	1.4
	6.2	4.4	1.43
	6.61	4.49	1.45
	6.7	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (4.75)	4.35 ↑ (3.85)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
14.3%

Draw
21.2%

Fortuna Köln
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

14.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Homberg's form might have worsened.

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Homberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-30.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Homberg - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Homberg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fortuna Köln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortuna Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortuna Köln is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
18.09.21	Wuppertal - Homberg	3:1 ✺
10.09.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Homberg	3:0 ✺
04.09.21	Homberg - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Rödinghausen - Homberg	0:1 ✺
25.08.21	Homberg - Wegberg-Beeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWT
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
19.09.21	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:0 ✺
15.09.21	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Wuppertal - Fortuna Köln	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Fortuna Köln - Straelen	1:0 ✺
29.08.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Fortuna Köln	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
23.02.21	Fortuna Köln - Homberg	0:0
16.09.20	Homberg - Fortuna Köln	1:3

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