Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Homburg		Sonnenhof Großaspach

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.95	3.35
	1.89	3.96	3.44
	1.85	3.95	3.27
	2.14	4.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	3.99 ↑ (3.96)	3.17 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
47.7%

Draw
23.1%

Sonnenhof Großaspach
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

23.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

22.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homburg's performance.

Sonnenhof Großaspach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sonnenhof Großaspach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Homburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sonnenhof Großaspach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Homburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Homburg (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Homburg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Kleinschrodt M. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Steinhart P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Großaspach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.09.25	Mainz II - Homburg	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Homburg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Kickers Offenbach - Homburg	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Homburg - Astoria Walldorf	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Balingen - Homburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTTLW
- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
19.09.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Kickers Offenbach	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Stuttgart	2:6 ✺
German Regionalliga Sudwest
31.08.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Eintracht Trier	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
16.04.22	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:0
27.10.21	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	3:3
01.05.21	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1
16.12.20	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	1:1
25.03.14	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	5:1
07.09.13	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:3
25.05.13	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:2

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