Match Info

EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Yongin Citizens Sports Park (Yongin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Hong-kong	RTHK TV 32
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Grandstand
South-korea	Coupang Play, TV Chosun


	Hong Kong		South Korea

	1	X	2
				Watch
	51	19.5	1.01
	36	12	1
	23.1	17.44	1.04
				Watch
	46	15	1.03
	29	17.5	1.03	Watch
	26	10.5	1.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	35.18 ↑ (26.75)	15.32 ↑ (12.75)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong
2.7%

Draw
6.1%

South Korea
91.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.4%

7.2%

89.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

South Korea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Hong Kong - South Korea Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. South Korea will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 - Hong Kong (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hong Kong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yapp H. (C) Eastern AA 4. Jones L. Kitchee 3. Gerbig O. Henan Songshan Longmen 17. Chan Shinichi Shanghai Shenhua 21. Yue Tze-Nam Meizhou Hakka 20. Udebuluzor M. VfR Mannheim 6. Tan Chun-Lok Kitchee 12. Fernando Kitchee 7. Juninho Kitchee 9. Orr M. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 23. Sun Ming-Him Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1. Lee Chang-Geun (C) Daejeon 22. Kim Tae-Hyeon Jeonbuk 16. Seo Myung-Guan Ulsan Hyundai 20. Lee Seung-Won Gimcheon Sangmu 2. Cho Hyun-Taek Ulsan Hyundai 24. Byeon Jun-Soo Gwangju FC 13. Kang Sang-Yoon Jeonbuk 23. Seo Min-Woo Gangwon 18. Lee Ho-Jae Pohang 26. Kim Tae-Hyeon Kashima Antlers 7. Na Sang-Ho Machida Zelvia
Substitutes
22. Benavides Medeiros N. Tai Po 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. Tai Po 5. Dudu Lee Man Warriors 11. Lau K. Lee Man Warriors 26. Lee Ka-Ho Tai Po 15. Mahama A. Southern District 14. Merkies R. Shandong Taishan 8. Ngan Cheuk-Pan Kitchee 24. Ng Y. H. Chongqing Tonglianglong 19. Shlyakotin O. (G) Hong Kong Rangers 13. Stefan Southern District 18. Tse Ka-Wing (G) Tai Po 10. Wong W. Lee Man Warriors	17. Jeong Seung-Won Seoul 21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) Ulsan Hyundai 9. Joo Min-Kyu Daejeon 8. Kim Bong-Soo Daejeon 12. Kim Dong-Heon (G) Incheon 6. Kim Jin-gyu Jeonbuk 4. Kim Ju-Sung Seoul 15. Kim Moon-Hwan Daejeon 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong Gimcheon Sangmu 3. Lee Tae-Seok Pohang 25. Mo Jae-Hyeon Gangwon 11. Moon Seon-Min Seoul 19. Oh Se-Hun Machida Zelvia 5. Park Jin-Seob Jeonbuk 14. Park Seung-Wook Pohang
Coaches
Westwood A.	Hong Myung-Bo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Kang Sang-Yoon ⚽, Seo Min-Woo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Mo Jae-Hyeon ↑,
46', Cho Hyun-Taek ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
46', Fernando ↓, Wong W. ↑,
62', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Kim Jin-gyu ↑,
63', Tan Chun-Lok ↓, Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Lee Ho-Jae ⚽, Moon Seon-Min (A),
73', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Lau K. ↑,
73', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Kim Bong-Soo ↑,
80', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Jeong Seung-Won ↑,
83', Orr M. ↓, Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↑,
83', Juninho ↓, Benavides Medeiros N. ↑,
85', Sun Ming-Him 🟨,

Preview

South Korea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Korea is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong
EAFF E-1
08.07.25	Japan - Hong Kong	6:1 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Hong Kong - India	1:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Hong Kong - Nepal	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Hong Kong - Manchester United	1:3 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Singapore - Hong Kong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLT
- South Korea
EAFF E-1
07.07.25	South Korea - China	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	South Korea - Kuwait	4:0 ✺
05.06.25	Iraq - South Korea	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	South Korea - Jordan	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	South Korea - Oman	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

EAFF E-1
24.07.22	South Korea - Hong Kong	3:0
11.12.19	South Korea - Hong Kong	2:0

Hong Kong - South Korea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide