Match Info

EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yongin Citizens Sports Park (Yongin) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	18:24	ZhiBo8
Hong Kong	18:24	RTHK TV 32
Japan	19:24	Fuji TV One, U-NEXT
Malaysia	18:24	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka


	Japan		Hong Kong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.04	14	26
	1.02	21	46
				Watch
	1.05	12	41
	1.03	17.9	43	Watch
	1.05	6.84	20.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.05)	14.35 ↑ (6.84)	35.23 ↑ (20.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
90.8%

Draw
6.6%

Hong Kong
2.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

82.9%

12.7%

4.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan's performance.

Hong Kong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Japan - Hong Kong Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Hong Kong will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hong Kong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 - Japan (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hong Kong (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pisano A. (G) Nagoya Grampus 3. Araki H. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4. Koga T. Kashiwa Reysol 16. Ando T. Avispa Fukuoka 7. Soma Y. (C) Machida Zelvia 6. Kawabe H. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13. Germain R. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 15. Inagaki S. Nagoya Grampus 24. Kubo T. Kashiwa Reysol 19. Kakita Y. Kashiwa Reysol 9. Miyashiro T. Vissel Kobe	1. Yapp H. (C) Eastern AA 21. Yue Tze-Nam Meizhou Hakka 4. Jones L. Kitchee 17. Chan Shinichi Shanghai Shenhua 6. Tan Chun-Lok Kitchee 8. Ngan Cheuk-Pan Kitchee 3. Gerbig O. Henan Songshan Longmen 23. Sun Ming-Him Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 7. Juninho Kitchee 12. Fernando Kitchee 9. Orr M. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Substitutes
11. Hara T. Kyoto 12. Hayakawa T. (G) Kashima Antlers 10. Hosoya M. Kashiwa Reysol 2. Mochizuki H. Machida Zelvia 5. Nagatomo Y. FC Tokyo 26. Nakamura S. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14. Ozeki Y. Kawasaki Frontale 21. Sato R. Okayama 8. Tanaka S. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20. Tawaratsumida K. FC Tokyo 25. Tsunashima Y. Verdy 22. Ueda N. Kashima Antlers 17. Uno Z. Shimizu S-Pulse 18. Yamada S. Kawasaki Frontale	22. Benavides Medeiros N. Tai Po 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. Tai Po 5. Dudu Lee Man Warriors 11. Lau K. Lee Man Warriors 26. Lee Ka-Ho Tai Po 15. Mahama A. Southern District 14. Merkies R. Shandong Taishan 24. Ng Y. H. Chongqing Tonglianglong 19. Shlyakotin O. (G) Hong Kong Rangers 13. Stefan Southern District 18. Tse Ka-Wing (G) Tai Po 20. Udebuluzor M. VfR Mannheim 10. Wong W. Lee Man Warriors
Coaches
Moriyasu H.	Westwood A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Germain R. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Germain R. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
20', 3 - 0, Inagaki S. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
22', 4 - 0, Germain R. ⚽, Kakita Y. (A),
26', 5 - 0, Germain R. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
30', Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↓, Udebuluzor M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fernando ↓, Wong W. ↑,
46', Germain R. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
46', Kakita Y. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
59', 5 - 1, Orr M. ⚽, Tan Chun-Lok (A),
63', Kawabe H. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
63', Kubo T. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
67', Orr M. ↓, Lau K. ↑,
67', Juninho ↓, Mahama A. ↑,
68', Jones L. 🟨,
77', Miyashiro T. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
80', Tan Chun-Lok ↓, Stefan ↑,
81', Sato R. 🟨,
90+4', 6 - 1, Nakamura S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Japan is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Japan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 5.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Japan - Indonesia	6:0 ✺
05.06.25	Australia - Japan	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Japan - Saudi Arabia	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Japan - Bahrain	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	China - Japan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTWW
- Hong Kong
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Hong Kong - India	1:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Hong Kong - Nepal	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Hong Kong - Manchester United	1:3 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Singapore - Hong Kong	0:0 ✺
Friendly
19.03.25	Hong Kong - Macau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

EAFF E-1
19.07.22	Japan - Hong Kong	6:0
14.12.19	Japan - Hong Kong	5:0

Japan - Hong Kong