Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Hoogstraten		Houtvenne

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.70	2.37
	2.25	3.55	2.52
	2.27	3.86	2.78
	2.42	3.72	2.47	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.75
	2.26	3.8	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.4)	3.7 ↑ (3.45)	2.59 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoogstraten
40%

Draw
24.7%

Houtvenne
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoogstraten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Houtvenne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoogstraten than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houtvenne than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Hoogstraten - Houtvenne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion - Challenger Pro League).

Recent results have been tough for Hoogstraten (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Houtvenne is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hoogstraten could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hoogstraten has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 2.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hoogstraten against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Houtvenne	6	5	0	1	17:8	9	15
12	Hoogstraten	6	1	3	2	14:13	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Hoogstraten - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoogstraten VV
Belgian National Division 1 VV
30.09.26	Harelbeke - Hoogstraten	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Mandel United - Hoogstraten	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hoogstraten - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	4:4 ✺
05.09.26	Dessel Sport - Hoogstraten	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Hoogstraten - Merelbeke	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTTL
- KFC Houtvenne
Belgian National Division 1 VV
30.09.26	Houtvenne - Mandel United	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
26.09.26	Lokeren - Houtvenne	5:0 ✺
Belgian National Division 1 VV
20.09.26	Zelzate - Houtvenne	0:3 ✺
11.09.26	Houtvenne - Dessel Sport	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Belisia Bilzen - Houtvenne	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
17.01.26	Hoogstraten - Houtvenne	3:1
20.09.25	Houtvenne - Hoogstraten	1:2
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group B
23.09.20	Houtvenne - Hoogstraten	1:3

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