Match Info

BRAZIL: CEARENSE - RELEGATION - ROUND 6

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Horizonte		Barbalha

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.6
				Watch
	1.9	3.21	3.72
	1.9	3.21	3.72
	1.88	3.45	3.9
	1.88	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.23)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	3.74 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horizonte
48%

Draw
27.8%

Barbalha
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horizonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horizonte's performance.

Barbalha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbalha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Horizonte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbalha than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbalha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Horizonte - Barbalha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jonh Wilquer (G) 6. Caio 8. Dede (C) 5. Emerson Ocara 4. Jeferson 10. Jeff Silva 15. Leozinho 11. Mima 3. Ramon 2. Rian 7. Tico	1. Fabricio (G) 9. Alan Victor 5. Fabricio Recife 11. Jaco 10. Matheus Recife 2. Natanael 4. Renan 3. Ricardo 7. Romarinho 8. Weslley 17. Ze Preto
Substitutes
9. Andre Cassaco 17. Cebolinha 22. Janderson (G) 19. Leozidio 1. Marcel Sacana (G) 14. Mateus Pereira 16. Natan Baiano 20. Pentecoste 18. Witalo	16. David Zidane 6. Deivison 21. Franca 13. Goncalves J. 20. Jean 15. Jose Rikelme 19. Lael 14. Levi 18. Luizinho 12. Ocie (G)

Preview

Horizonte is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Barbalha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Horizonte won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Horizonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
12.03.24	Atlético Cearense - Horizonte	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Horizonte - Caucaia	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Caucaia - Horizonte	1:1 ✺
29.02.24	Horizonte - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Barbalha - Horizonte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTWT
- Barbalha FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
12.03.24	Barbalha - Caucaia	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Barbalha - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Cearense - Barbalha	3:2 ✺
29.02.24	Caucaia - Barbalha	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Barbalha - Horizonte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.02.24	Barbalha - Horizonte	0:0
12.01.20	Barbalha - Horizonte	2:0
20.03.19	Barbalha - Horizonte	1:1
19.01.19	Horizonte - Barbalha	0:0

Horizonte - Barbalha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide