Match Info

BRAZIL: CEARENSE - RELEGATION - ROUND 3

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Caucaia		Horizonte

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.19	3.05	3.05
	2.17	3.34	3.15
	2.11	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.93)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	3.07 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caucaia
42.5%

Draw
28%

Horizonte
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caucaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Horizonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Caucaia - Horizonte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Miller (G) 10. Alan 2. Andrezinho 20. Ceara 14. Diguinho 19. Genesis 6. Gustavo Queiroz 13. Lucas Neres 3. Regineldo 5. Rodrigo Correia 17. Vanderlan	12. Jonh Wilquer (G) 2. Ball 4. Bruno Miranda 6. Caio 8. Dede 5. Emerson Ocara 7. Jeff Silva 3. Leo Ceara 16. Leozidio 15. Leozinho 11. Tico
Substitutes
11. Daniel 16. Felipinho 7. Henrique 22. Henrique 15. Indio 4. Jonathan Santana 12. Matheus Jesus (G) 9. Romario 8. Ruan 21. Viana Lucas 18. Xandy	20. Andre Cassaco 13. Berg 21. Cebolinha 19. Claudivan 9. Eric 18. Jeferson 1. Marcel Sacana (G) 10. Natan Baiano 23. Pentecoste 14. Ramon 25. Witalo 17. Ze Carlos

Preview

Caucaia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Horizonte is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caucaia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caucaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Caucaia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caucaia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
29.02.24	Caucaia - Barbalha	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Cearense - Caucaia	2:2 ✺
15.02.24	Caucaia - Horizonte	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Ceará - Caucaia	5:0 ✺
31.01.24	Caucaia - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL
- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
29.02.24	Horizonte - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Barbalha - Horizonte	0:0 ✺
15.02.24	Caucaia - Horizonte	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Horizonte - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Floresta - Horizonte	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.02.24	Caucaia - Horizonte	0:1
15.01.20	Horizonte - Caucaia	1:1

Caucaia - Horizonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide