Match Info

Regionalliga East - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)


	Horn		Donau Wien

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.25	5.15	7.6
	1.37	4.87	5.67
	1.4	4.97	5.79	Watch
	1.38	4.7	5.3
	1.36	4.7	6.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	4.86 ↑ (4.13)	6.18 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
66.8%

Draw
18.6%

Donau Wien
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

14.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horn's performance.

Donau Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horn than the current prediction. (-25%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Horn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donau Wien than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Donau Wien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Horn - Donau Wien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Horn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Donau is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Horn is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Horn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Horn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Horn	10	3	2	5	14:15	-1	11
12	SV Donau	10	2	5	3	15:18	-3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Austrian Regionalliga East
14.08.26	Leobendorf - Horn	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Horn - Wienerberg	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Donaufeld Wien - Horn	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
24.07.26	Horn - Floridsdorfer AC	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Horn - Floridsdorfer AC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLT
- SV Donau Wien
Austrian Regionalliga East
15.08.26	Donau Wien - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Parndorf - Donau Wien	6:1 ✺
31.07.26	Donau Wien - Kremser	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.26	Hellas Kagran - Donau Wien	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	St. Pölteng II - Donau Wien	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
28.02.26	Donau Wien - Horn	1:0
08.08.25	Horn - Donau Wien	0:0

Horn - Donau Wien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide