Match Info

Superliga - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Hybel Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		Randers FC

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.35
	2.78	3.45	2.4
	2.82	3.71	2.49
	2.75	3.67	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.4
	2.75	3.54	2.36	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	2.39 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
34.1%

Draw
26.4%

Randers FC
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.7%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Randers FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Horsens - Randers FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Randers will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.73) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 8th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Horsens may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Horsens: Vestergaard C. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Randers: Bjorkengren J. (Injury) Dammers W. (Injury) Lauenborg F. (Injury) Lissens L. (Injury) Orn B. (Injury) Sommer F. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Horsens has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:28 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Horsens against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Horsens	10	3	3	4	18:19	-1	12
8	Randers FC	10	3	1	6	11:16	-5	10

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Randers FC: 0.5% Horsens: 0.45%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish Superliga
11.10.26	Silkeborg IF - Horsens	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Horsens - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	Horsens - AGF Aarhus	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Næsby - Horsens	2:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
11.09.26	Copenhagen - Horsens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTWL
- Randers FC
Danish Superliga
11.10.26	Randers FC - Viborg	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	SønderjyskE - Randers FC	4:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Vendsyssel - Randers FC	1:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.09.26	Randers FC - OB Odense	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Brøndby - Randers FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
04.11.22	Horsens - Randers FC	5:1
05.08.22	Randers FC - Horsens	1:0
Club Friendly
21.01.22	Horsens - Randers FC	2:1
26.06.21	Horsens - Randers FC	1:1
Danish Superliga
02.02.21	Randers FC - Horsens	3:0
13.09.20	Horsens - Randers FC	0:3
28.06.20	Randers FC - Horsens	0:3

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