Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Jos Becker (Hostert)


	Hostert		Jeunesse Canach

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3
	1.95	3.8	2.98
	2.06	3.79	3.11
	1.52	4.12	5.49	Watch
	1.97	3.96	2.95
	1.85	4.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.95 ↓ (4.3)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hostert
49.7%

Draw
23.6%

Jeunesse Canach
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

21.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

20.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hostert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Jeunesse Canach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Canach than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Hostert - Jeunesse Canach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. da Silva T. (G) 67. Ahmeti D. 11. Bekkouche S. 22. Bernardy L. 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 15. Letievant A. 8. Maquart T. (C) 7. Rodrigues K. 21. Yans M.	1. Roulez V. (C) 21. Aguiar J. 12. Amofa B. 93. Cafafa T. 22. Costa T. 10. Desevic A. 8. Jimmy 15. Laborie P. 84. Nelsinho 11. Nico 96. Reihle D.
Substitutes
28. Almeida Borges B. 44. Alverdi L. 20. Baiverlin C. 25. Caufriez A. 99. Gomes Y. (G) 19. Mendes E. 97. Quinol K.	14. Deville M. 7. Jun C. W. 90. Martins R. (G) 19. Mendes C. 9. Perkovic B. 27. Sako T. 23. Xavi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Leroux M. ⚽, Fernandes D. (A),
28', Derbali R. 🟨,
33', Maquart T. 🟨,
45', Bekkouche S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Letievant A. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Fernandes D. ⚽, Yans M. (A),
58', Desevic A. ↓, Deville M. ↑,
58', Aguiar J. ↓, Perkovic B. ↑,
67', 🟨,
68', Nico 🟨,
69', Yans M. ↓, Mendes E. ↑,
69', Rodrigues K. ↓, Caufriez A. ↑,
69', Costa T. ↓, Xavi ↑,
77', Ahmeti D. ↓, Baiverlin C. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Nico ⚽, Cafafa T. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hostert is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hostert won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
16.08.25	Pétange - Hostert	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Hostert - Rodange	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Hostert - Victoria Rosport	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Hostert - Käerjéng 97	1:3 ✺
22.07.25	Fola Esch - Hostert	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLLW
- Jeunesse Canach
Luxembourg National Division
17.08.25	Jeunesse Canach - Rodange	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Canach	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Jeunesse Canach - Mamer	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Jeunesse Canach - Résidence Walferdange	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	The Belval Belvaux - Jeunesse Canach	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
08.04.15	Hostert - Jeunesse Canach	2:2
21.09.14	Jeunesse Canach - Hostert	1:0

Upcoming Matches