Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade John Grun (Mondorf-les-Bains)


	Mondorf-les-Bains		Hostert

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.75
	1.48	4.26	5.49
	1.48	4.36	5.51	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.6	3.9	4.82
	1.65	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	3.96 ↑ (3.88)	5.08 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mondorf-les-Bains
59.2%

Draw
22.9%

Hostert
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mondorf-les-Bains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Hostert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Mondorf les Bains - Hostert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Machado J. (G) 23. Baal L. 8. Bourigeaud A. 19. Godart Y. 27. Holter D. (C) 6. Knoepffler A. 29. Kumbi J. 7. Lopes S. 70. Matias Y. 66. Steinmetz C. 72. Tinelli L.	99. Seligson F. (G) 67. Ahmeti D. 30. Al Badaoui A. 28. Almeida Borges B. 20. Baiverlin C. 22. Bernardy L. 25. Caufriez A. 14. Dieme E. H. 26. Leroux M. 19. Mendes E. 21. Yans M.
Substitutes
5. Benhemine A. 33. Clausse L. 9. Fournier L. 99. Majouga M. 77. Ouedraogo J. M. 13. Rodrigues D. (G) 18. Stoltz L.	11. Bekkouche S. 45. Cungs L. 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 79. Fernandes R. 29. Gomes Y. (G) 7. Rodrigues K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mondorf won 3.

Mondorf is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hostert is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mondorf is considered a favorite.

We predict that Mondorf will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mondorf won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mondorf won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mondorf	8	6	0	2	16:11	5	18
9	Hostert	8	3	2	3	14:11	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mondorf-les-Bains
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Differdange 03 - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Jeunesse Canach	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rodange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTWWW
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	Hostert - Atert Bissen	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Hostert - Käerjéng 97	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1
19.04.25	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1
27.10.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	3:1
Luxembourg Cup
24.04.24	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2
Luxembourg National Division
21.05.23	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:5
07.08.22	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	2:0
03.04.22	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1

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