Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport


	Hougang United		PSM Makassar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.3	4	1.9	Watch
	3.48	3.94	2
	3.48	3.94	1.84
	3.25	3.9	1.8
	3.48	4.05	1.86	Watch
	3.25	3.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.5)	3.9 ↑ (3.69)	1.88 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hougang United
27.5%

Draw
23.6%

PSM Makassar
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

24.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

24.1%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hougang United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hougang United's form might have worsened.

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSM Makassar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hougang United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hougang United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSM Makassar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Hougang United - PSM Makassar Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hougang will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Makassar will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Makassar: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Nizam Z. (G) 3. Vestering J. 36. Qaiyyim A. 5. Kuriyama N. 6. Takayama K. 7. Recha A. 4. Nazari N. (C) 17. Shah I. 8. Sulaiman S. 11. Halim H. 44. Maksimovic D.	1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 4. Fernandes Y. 45. Tanjung A. 27. Tahar S. 11. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 68. Salman D. 39. Nambu K. 48. Arfan M. (C) 24. Pratama R. 20. Silva A. 10. Everton
Substitutes
18. Adnan I. 68. Fandi I. 25. Gulam Mohamed M. Z. b. (G) 61. Isaac L. (G) 74. Pujiyono M. 16. Robson A. 55. Sanizal R. 23. Suhaimi S. 58. Tan L. 24. Zalani A.	7. Dethan V. 16. Ferizal S. 5. Gutawa E. 18. Harjito A. 71. Hidayat M. 33. Joao Pedro 41. Nur Bangsawan A. 15. Pratama R. 30. Pratama R. (G) 8. Raehan A. 22. Sayuri Y. 23. Sayuri Y.

Preview

Hougang United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Makassar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Makassar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hougang United have a series of guest games.

Recently Makassar have a series of home games.

Makassar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hougang United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hougang United
AFC Cup
25.10.23	PSM Makassar - Hougang United	3:1 ✺
05.10.23	Hougang United - Hai Phong	2:1 ✺
Singapore Cup
25.09.23	Tanjong Pagar United - Hougang United	2:1 ✺
AFC Cup
21.09.23	Sabah FA - Hougang United	3:1 ✺
Singapore Premier League
16.09.23	Jurong - Hougang United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL
- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
03.11.23	PSM Makassar - Persija Jakarta	2:3 ✺
30.10.23	RANS Nusantara - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
AFC Cup
25.10.23	PSM Makassar - Hougang United	3:1 ✺
Indonesian Super League
20.10.23	PSM Makassar - Arema	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	PSM Makassar - Madura United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
25.10.23	PSM Makassar - Hougang United	3:1

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