Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gelora BJ Habibie (Parepare City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSM Makassar		Madura United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.55	4.85	Watch
	2.00	3.24	3.74	Watch
	1.64	3.79	5.12
	1.77	3.45	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2)	3.51 ↑ (3.24)	4.62 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
53.2%

Draw
26.6%

Madura United
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSM Makassar's performance.

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

PSM Makassar - Madura United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Makassar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Makassar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Hilmansyah (G) 13. Lasinari S. 2. Aloisio Neto 45. Tanjung A. (C) 22. Victor Luiz 40. Gledson 88. Raehan A. 8. Savio Roberto 11. Lucas Dias 9. Alex 98. Medina Themopole J.	30. Saputra M. (G) 68. Rusadi A. 3. Monteiro P. 95. Mendonca 6. Ruxi 5. Palic K. 24. Muslihuddin T. 4. Wehrmann J. 77. Alesandro F. 11. Lulinha (C) 87. Balotelli
Substitutes
1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 7. Dethan V. 6. Fandi R. 71. Hidayat M. 77. Kamara A. 20. Negoro P. 15. Pratama R. 81. Rahaman A. 23. Ridzald K. 10. Sakai D. 68. Salman D. 32. Septiawan R. D.	25. Afrisal R. 9. Gryshyn V. 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 18. Kemaluddin M. 99. Kusuma A. 7. Nufiandani A. 44. Nurdiansyah 42. Ramzy F. 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P.
Coaches
Tavares B.	Vera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Balotelli 🟨,
18', Raehan A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Muslihuddin T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gledson ↓, Septiawan R. D. ↑,
56', Rusadi A. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
57', Alesandro F. ↓, Nufiandani A. ↑,
60', Medina Themopole J. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
60', Lucas Dias ↓, Sakai D. ↑,
72', Lasinari S. ↓, Rahaman A. ↑,
73', Muslihuddin T. ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
75', Wehrmann J. 🟨,
82', Alex ↓, Dethan V. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Raehan A. ⚽, Rahaman A. (A),
89', Lulinha 🟨,
90+2', Lulinha ↓, Afrisal R. ↑,
90+3', Balotelli ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Makassar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Makassar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Makassar won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.5:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
25.10.25	Persik Kediri - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	PSM Makassar - Arema	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	PSM Makassar - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	PSM Makassar - Persija Jakarta	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Persita Tangerang - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTWL
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
24.10.25	Madura United - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
16.10.25	Dewa United - Madura United	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Madura United	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Java United - Madura United	4:1 ✺
12.09.25	Madura United - Bhayangkara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
02.03.25	Madura United - PSM Makassar	1:3
18.10.24	PSM Makassar - Madura United	2:0
21.04.24	Madura United - PSM Makassar	2:0
08.10.23	PSM Makassar - Madura United	0:2
31.03.23	Madura United - PSM Makassar	1:3
15.12.22	PSM Makassar - Madura United	0:1
08.01.22	PSM Makassar - Madura United	1:0

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