Match Info

Druga NL - Round 22

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić (Zagreb)


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Karlovac

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.85
	2.2	3.59	2.81	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.1
	2.15	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.85)	3.52 ↑ (3.32)	2.9 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
42.7%

Draw
25.9%

Karlovac
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

26.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hrvatski Dragovoljac's performance.

Karlovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlovac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hrvatski Dragovoljac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlovac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Karlovac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Zuljevic M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Janusic T. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Zuljevic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 3, Stepinac G. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

Hrvatski Dragovoljac is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Karlovac is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hrvatski Dragovoljac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Druga NL
29.03.25	Bjelovar - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Grobničan - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:1 ✺
14.03.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Uljanik Pula	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	4:1 ✺
28.02.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Hrvace	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLTLL
- Karlovac
Croatian Druga NL
02.04.25	Karlovac - Uljanik Pula	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Karlovac	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Karlovac - Hrvace	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Dugo Selo - Karlovac	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Karlovac - Segesta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
04.10.24	Karlovac - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0
24.05.24	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Karlovac	2:0
17.11.23	Karlovac - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0

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