Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 28

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić (Zagreb)


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Rudeš

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	4.33	3.25	1.72
	4.19	2.94	1.83
	4.6	3.52	1.71	Watch
	4.25	3.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (4.32)	3.3 ↓ (3.75)	1.74 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
20.9%

Draw
27.3%

Rudeš
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

24.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

23.3%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hrvatski Dragovoljac have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Rudeš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudeš than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rudeš could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Rudeš Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hrvatski Dragovoljac will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Rudeš will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rudeš: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rudeš is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hrvatski Dragovoljac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rudeš is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Prva NL
22.04.23	Vukovar 91 - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:1 ✺
15.04.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Cibalia	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Solin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:0 ✺
31.03.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Dugopolje - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLLW
- NK Rudeš
Croatian Prva NL
22.04.23	Rudeš - Bijelo Brdo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.04.23	Gorica - Rudeš	1:0 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
14.04.23	Kustošija - Rudeš	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Rudeš - Croatia Zmijavci	4:1 ✺
03.04.23	Jarun Zagreb - Rudeš	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
18.02.23	Rudeš - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:0
24.09.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Rudeš	1:0
11.05.21	Rudeš - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:2
20.11.20	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Rudeš	0:1
27.10.19	Rudeš - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:1
25.03.17	Rudeš - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0
06.11.16	Rudeš - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1

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