Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 26

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić (Zagreb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Cibalia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	3.6	3	1.93
	4.25	3.01	1.96
	3.94	3.24	1.91	Watch
	3.65	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.9)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	1.92 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
23.5%

Draw
29.3%

Cibalia
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hrvatski Dragovoljac's form might have worsened.

Cibalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cibalia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hrvatski Dragovoljac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibalia than the current prediction. (-5%)

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Cibalia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cibalia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Prva NL
08.04.23	Solin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:0 ✺
31.03.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Dugopolje - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Jarun Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:5 ✺
11.03.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dubrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLWWT
- HNK Cibalia
Croatian Prva NL
06.04.23	Cibalia - Bijelo Brdo	0:0 ✺
31.03.23	Kustošija - Cibalia	1:1 ✺
24.03.23	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0 ✺
17.03.23	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Dugopolje - Cibalia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
05.11.22	Cibalia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1
19.08.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Cibalia	0:0
16.05.21	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Cibalia	0:3
28.11.20	Cibalia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	6:0
23.11.19	Cibalia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:1
24.03.16	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Cibalia	0:2
12.03.16	Cibalia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	5:1

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